Sentiment & polls · Polls · Private polls · context only

As at 13 October 2026 · official data unless labelled

What the published polls say

Private polls: context only, never official data. Compiled from published polls via Wikipedia’s polling tables; every poll links to the release it was reported in. A poll of 1,000 people has a margin of error of about ±3 points.

Two-party preferred

Labor and the Coalition are level on two-party preferred (50.3–49.7) across pollsters in the past 30 days
Labor v Coalition two-party preferred vote, % (monthly average of published polls)
LaborCoalition
57.450.349.72025-062026-10
Monthly average of published polls (by the month fieldwork ended); MRP models excluded. Private polls, compiled via Wikipedia.
Labor and One Nation are neck and neck on first preferences
Primary vote, %: average of each pollster's latest poll in the 30 days to 11 Oct 2026
Labor27.7
Coalition18.6
One Nation26.4
Greens12.9
Others11.5
Private polls, compiled via Wikipedia; MRP models excluded.

Latest poll from each pollster

FieldworkPollsterClient2PP ALPALPL/NPONPGRNOthRelease
28 Sept 2026 – 11 Oct 2026Roy Morgan—5326324–13.5source
29 Sept 2026 – 6 Oct 2026YouGovNews24522521281511source
28 Sept 2026 – 2 Oct 2026RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review462821291111source
11 July 2026 – 23 July 2026Spectre Strategy—512823261211source
25 May 2026 – 26 May 2026Fox & HedgehogThe Daily Telegraph49292527109source
28 Apr 2026 – 30 Apr 2026FreshwaterThe Courier Mail53322325128source
13 Apr 2026 – 18 Apr 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age55322322–11source
18 Feb 2026 – 23 Feb 2026EssentialThe Guardian49.5302622–11source
12 Jan 2026 – 16 Jan 2026NewspollThe Australian55322122–13source
5 Jan 2026 – 6 Jan 2026DemosAUCapital Brief52292323–13source
18 July 2025 – 30 July 2025Wolf & SmithAustralian Financial Review573630–––source

Direction of the country

Most voters said the country was heading in the wrong direction in June 2026 (60.5%)
Share saying the country is heading in the right or wrong direction, % (monthly average of published polls)
Wrong directionRight direction
4260.524.82025-052026-06
Monthly average of published polls (by the month fieldwork ended); MRP models excluded. Private polls, compiled via Wikipedia.
FieldworkPollsterClientRightWrongNetRelease
22 June 2026 – 28 June 2026Roy Morgan—25.557-31.5source
15 June 2026 – 21 June 2026Roy Morgan—2464-40source
9 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026Roy Morgan—25.560.5-35source
2 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026Roy Morgan—26.559-32.5source
23 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026Roy Morgan—26.558-31.5source
18 Feb 2026 – 23 Feb 2026EssentialThe Guardian3449-15source
13 Feb 2026 – 16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan—3355-22source
9 Feb 2026 – 13 Feb 2026Roy Morgan—28.557-28.5source
2 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026Roy Morgan—2858-30source
26 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan—3056.5-26.5source
19 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026Roy Morgan—29.556.5-27source
20 Jan 2026 – 23 Jan 2026EssentialThe Guardian2954-25source

Leaders

Albanese is on net -22.8 and Taylor on -7.6 across pollsters in the past 30 days
Net approval (approve minus disapprove), points: monthly average of published polls
Prime MinisterOpposition leader
7.8-24.2-6.52025-072026-10
Prime Minister: Albanese. Opposition leader: Ley (2025-07 to 2025-12), then Taylor (2026-01 to 2026-10). Private polls, compiled via Wikipedia; MRP models excluded.

Latest approval from each pollster

FieldworkPollsterAlbanese netTaylor netHanson netRelease
6 Oct 2026 – 10 Oct 2026Resolve-18+8–source
5 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026Newspoll-24-11-9source
29 Sept 2026 – 6 Oct 2026YouGov-28-17–source
28 Sept 2026 – 2 Oct 2026RedBridge/Accent-27-6-10source
23 Sept 2026 – 28 Sept 2026Essential-17-12–source
16 June 2026 – 18 June 2026DemosAU-23-7-3source
25 May 2026 – 26 May 2026Fox & Hedgehog-220–source
2 Apr 2026 – 8 Apr 2026Spectre Strategy-22––source
27 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026Freshwater-17+14+10source
4 July 2025 – 10 July 2025Morning Consult+19––source

Preferred prime minister

FieldworkPollsterAlbaneseTaylorHansonUnsureRelease
6 Oct 2026 – 10 Oct 2026Resolve32222620source
5 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026Newspoll4439–17source
5 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026Newspoll452530–source
29 Sept 2026 – 6 Oct 2026YouGov50–4010source
29 Sept 2026 – 6 Oct 2026YouGov4039–21source
28 Sept 2026 – 2 Oct 2026RedBridge/Accent31152628source
15 Sept 2026 – 21 Sept 2026YouGov50–3812source
15 Sept 2026 – 21 Sept 2026YouGov4137–22source
14 Sept 2026 – 17 Sept 2026Newspoll4241–17source
14 Sept 2026 – 17 Sept 2026Newspoll442432–source
10 Sept 2026 – 14 Sept 2026DemosAU45–3322source
10 Sept 2026 – 14 Sept 2026DemosAU36212518source
1 Sept 2026 – 8 Sept 2026YouGov4339–18source
1 Sept 2026 – 8 Sept 2026YouGov51–409source
24 Aug 2026 – 28 Aug 2026Newspoll4435–21source
24 Aug 2026 – 28 Aug 2026RedBridge/Accent31152430source

Every voting-intention poll since the 2025 election

FieldworkPollsterClient2PP ALPALPL/NPONPGRNOthRelease
28 Sept 2026 – 11 Oct 2026Roy Morgan—5326324–13.5source
6 Oct 2026 – 10 Oct 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age–2923251211source
5 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026NewspollThe Australian–292028–9source
29 Sept 2026 – 6 Oct 2026YouGovNews24522521281511source
28 Sept 2026 – 2 Oct 2026RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review462821291111source
23 Sept 2026 – 28 Sept 2026EssentialThe Guardian–2922251212source
14 Sept 2026 – 27 Sept 2026Roy Morgan—52.5262.525.514.511source
15 Sept 2026 – 21 Sept 2026YouGovNews24522621271412source
14 Sept 2026 – 20 Sept 2026Roy Morgan—532521.525.515.512.5source
4 Aug 2026 – 19 Sept 2026DemosAU (MRP)Capital Brief–272226–12source
14 Sept 2026 – 17 Sept 2026NewspollThe Australian–2719301311source
10 Sept 2026 – 14 Sept 2026DemosAUCapital Brief–2820261313source
7 Sept 2026 – 13 Sept 2026Roy Morgan—55252.5251612.5source
6 Sept 2026 – 12 Sept 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age–282427119source
1 Sept 2026 – 8 Sept 2026YouGovNews24522618301214source
31 Aug 2026 – 6 Sept 2026Roy Morgan—53274.526.514.510.5source
26 Aug 2026 – 31 Aug 2026EssentialThe Guardian–2626231311source
24 Aug 2026 – 30 Aug 2026Roy Morgan—5629.52.523.513.513source
24 Aug 2026 – 28 Aug 2026RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review48292228129source
24 Aug 2026 – 28 Aug 2026NewspollThe Australian–291930139source
18 Aug 2026 – 24 Aug 2026YouGovNews24532921261212source
17 Aug 2026 – 23 Aug 2026Roy Morgan—52272.5271411source
18 Aug 2026 – 20 Aug 2026DemosAUCapital Brief–2625241213source
11 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026Roy Morgan—5228.52.52512.510.5source
9 Aug 2026 – 15 Aug 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age–2823261211source
4 Aug 2026 – 10 Aug 2026YouGovNews24522822241214source
3 Aug 2026 – 9 Aug 2026Roy Morgan—5325.53.52615.511source
3 Aug 2026 – 7 Aug 2026NewspollThe Australian–2918291410source
27 July 2026 – 2 Aug 2026Roy Morgan—5227.53.5241510source
27 July 2026 – 30 July 2026RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review48292231108source
21 July 2026 – 28 July 2026YouGovNews24532822251312source
22 July 2026 – 27 July 2026EssentialThe Guardian–3122251210source
20 July 2026 – 26 July 2026Roy Morgan—5427.53.525.51411source
11 July 2026 – 23 July 2026Spectre Strategy—512823261211source
13 July 2026 – 19 July 2026Roy Morgan—5627.52.522.51413source
13 July 2026 – 16 July 2026NewspollThe Australian–301930129source
7 July 2026 – 14 July 2026YouGovSky News Australia532820261214source
6 July 2026 – 12 July 2026Roy Morgan—5427.52.52812.512source
6 July 2026 – 11 July 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age–2823261211source
3 July 2026 – 8 July 2026DemosAUCapital Brief–2621291410source
28 June 2026 – 5 July 2026Roy Morgan—55282.522.51414source
23 June 2026 – 30 June 2026YouGovSky News Australia542917301311source
24 June 2026 – 29 June 2026EssentialThe Guardian–3023261010source
22 June 2026 – 28 June 2026Roy Morgan—53.5282.5261311.5source
22 June 2026 – 26 June 2026RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review54301829149source
22 June 2026 – 25 June 2026NewspollThe Australian–331729138source
15 June 2026 – 21 June 2026Roy Morgan—54272.531.513.510.5source
16 June 2026 – 18 June 2026DemosAUCapital Brief–2718301312source
9 June 2026 – 16 June 2026YouGovSky News Australia522621281312source
8 June 2026 – 14 June 2026Roy Morgan—54.528229.51411.5source
8 June 2026 – 13 June 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age–2820291212source
1 June 2026 – 7 June 2026Roy Morgan—5626329.515.511.5source
1 June 2026 – 4 June 2026NewspollThe Australian–3018311110source
26 May 2026 – 2 June 2026YouGovSky News Australia51.52620291312source
25 May 2026 – 31 May 2026Roy Morgan—55.5272.52713.512.5source
25 May 2026 – 28 May 2026RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review51282031129source
22 May 2026 – 26 May 2026Agenda C SynesisFair Go Australia–2918241019source
25 May 2026 – 26 May 2026Fox & HedgehogThe Daily Telegraph49292527109source
20 May 2026 – 25 May 2026EssentialThe Guardian–292328119source
18 May 2026 – 24 May 2026Roy Morgan—5327.5225.513.510.5source
15 May 2026 – 20 May 2026DemosAUCapital Brief–2623281310source
12 May 2026 – 19 May 2026YouGovSky News Australia522823251311source
11 May 2026 – 17 May 2026Roy Morgan—5429.5324.511.510.5source
14 May 2026 – 17 May 2026NewspollThe Australian–3120271210source
13 May 2026 – 16 May 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age–2923241212source
13 May 2026 – 15 May 2026FreshwaterThe Chronicle–292526119source
29 Apr 2026 – 14 May 2026RedBridge/Accent (MRP)Australian Financial Review–312128119source
13 May 2026 – 14 May 2026Roy Morgan—5528.516.53211.511.5source
13 May 2026Wolf & SmithAmplify–3024221113source
4 May 2026 – 10 May 2026Roy Morgan—53.530.542211.511source
28 Apr 2026 – 5 May 2026YouGovSky News Australia543021241411source
27 Apr 2026 – 3 May 2026Roy Morgan—54.529.5321.51312source
24 Apr 2026 – 30 Apr 2026RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review54312227137source
28 Apr 2026 – 30 Apr 2026FreshwaterThe Courier Mail53322325128source
22 Apr 2026 – 27 Apr 2026EssentialThe Guardian–3024251110source
20 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026Roy Morgan—54.5303.522.51411source
14 Apr 2026 – 21 Apr 2026YouGovSky News Australia532720271412source
13 Apr 2026 – 19 Apr 2026Roy Morgan—55.530.53.521.5–11.5source
13 Apr 2026 – 18 Apr 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age55322322–11source
13 Apr 2026 – 16 Apr 2026NewspollThe Australian–312124–11source
9 Apr 2026 – 14 Apr 2026DemosAUCapital Brief–262326–12source
6 Apr 2026 – 12 Apr 2026Roy Morgan—5630324.5–10.5source
2 Apr 2026 – 8 Apr 2026Spectre Strategy—51282426–10source
31 Mar 2026 – 7 Apr 2026YouGovSky News Australia55302025–13source
30 Mar 2026 – 5 Apr 2026Roy Morgan—5630.5421.5–12source
27 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026FreshwaterNews Australia51322325–8source
23 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026Roy Morgan—56.530323.5–10.5source
23 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review53321729–9source
23 Mar 2026 – 26 Mar 2026NewspollThe Australian–312126–10source
24 Mar 2026 – 25 Mar 2026Fox & Hedgehog—51302323–11source
17 Mar 2026 – 24 Mar 2026YouGovSky News Australia54291927–12source
18 Mar 2026 – 23 Mar 2026Essential—–312424–12source
16 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026Roy Morgan—52.527423.5–10.5source
12 Mar 2026 – 19 Mar 2026YouGovThe Australia Institute–282126–11source
9 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026Roy Morgan—5428.53.522.5–12.5source
9 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age–292224–13source
3 Mar 2026 – 10 Mar 2026YouGovSky News Australia55301926–12source
2 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026Roy Morgan—54.526.522.523.5–13source
13 Jan 2026 – 3 Mar 2026DemosAU (MRP)—–292127–11source
23 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026Roy Morgan—5630.523.522–12.5source
23 Feb 2026 – 27 Feb 2026RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review5432228–9source
23 Feb 2026 – 26 Feb 2026NewspollThe Australian–322027–10source
17 Feb 2026 – 24 Feb 2026YouGovSky News Australia5329224–12source
18 Feb 2026 – 23 Feb 2026EssentialThe Guardian49.5302622–11source
16 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026Roy Morgan—54312420.5–12source
16 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026DemosAUCapital Brief–292128–10source
17 Feb 2026 – 19 Feb 2026Fox & HedgehogThe Daily Telegraph51302425–9source
13 Feb 2026 – 16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan—553223.521.5–10.5source
8 Feb 2026 – 14 Feb 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age55322323–12source
9 Feb 2026 – 13 Feb 2026Roy Morgan—58.530.52025–11.5source
6 Feb 2026 – 12 Feb 2026RedBridge/AccentThe Australia Institute–341728–10source
8 Feb 2026 – 12 Feb 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age55312025–13source
3 Feb 2026 – 10 Feb 2026YouGovSky News Australia5430128–11source
5 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026NewspollThe Australian–33327–10source
2 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026Roy Morgan—53.528.522.524.5–11source
26 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan—5630.52.525–11.5source
22 Jan 2026 – 29 Jan 2026RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review5634226–10source
20 Jan 2026 – 27 Jan 2026YouGovSky News Australia5531225–12source
19 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026Roy Morgan—56.530.52.522.5–11.5source
20 Jan 2026 – 23 Jan 2026EssentialThe Guardian–312522–13source
13 Jan 2026 – 21 Jan 2026DemosAUCapital Brief–302124–12source
16 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026FreshwaterHerald Sun53332819–9source
12 Jan 2026 – 18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan—53.528.5221–13source
12 Jan 2026 – 16 Jan 2026ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age52302818–14source
12 Jan 2026 – 16 Jan 2026NewspollThe Australian55322122–13source
5 Jan 2026 – 11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan—52302.515–11source
5 Jan 2026 – 6 Jan 2026Fox & HedgehogThe Daily Telegraph53292521–11source
5 Jan 2026 – 6 Jan 2026DemosAUCapital Brief52292323–13source
16 Dec 2025 – 23 Dec 2025YouGovSky News Australia–302420136source
17 Dec 2025 – 20 Dec 2025ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age54322816124source
8 Dec 2025 – 14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan—54.530.527.5171312source
5 Dec 2025 – 12 Dec 2025RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review56352617139source
3 Dec 2025 – 8 Dec 2025Essential—52.13426171012source
2 Dec 2025 – 7 Dec 2025ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age55352614116source
26 Nov 2025 – 2 Dec 2025YouGovSky News Australia–322419136source
7 Nov 2025 – 26 Nov 2025RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review543526181011source
19 Nov 2025 – 24 Nov 2025Essential—53.23627151113source
17 Nov 2025 – 20 Nov 2025NewspollThe Australian583624151312source
4 Nov 2025 – 17 Nov 2025Spectre StrategyThe Daily Telegraph53332517.512.512source
12 Nov 2025 – 17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP)Climate Council–342618125source
20 Oct 2025 – 16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan—56.533271412.513.5source
7 Nov 2025 – 13 Nov 2025RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review56382418911source
5 Oct 2025 – 11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP)—563324171313source
4 Nov 2025 – 8 Nov 2025ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age53332912126source
23 Oct 2025 – 30 Oct 2025YouGovThe Australia Institute56332713128source
27 Oct 2025 – 30 Oct 2025NewspollThe Australian573624151114source
22 Oct 2025 – 27 Oct 2025Essential—53.2362615914source
15 Oct 2025 – 20 Oct 2025FreshwaterThe Daily Telegraph553331101411source
22 Sept 2025 – 19 Oct 2025Roy Morgan—573527121313source
7 Oct 2025 – 12 Oct 2025ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age55342812117source
25 Sept 2025 – 7 Oct 2025RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review543429141112source
29 Sept 2025 – 2 Oct 2025NewspollThe Australian573728111212source
25 Sept 2025 – 30 Sept 2025YouGov—563427121214source
24 Sept 2025 – 29 Sept 2025Essential—53.73527131114source
25 Aug 2025 – 21 Sept 2025Roy Morgan—55.534309.51214.5source
9 Sept 2025 – 13 Sept 2025ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age55352712116source
8 Sept 2025 – 11 Sept 2025NewspollThe Australian583627101314source
19 Aug 2025 – 8 Sept 2025RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review53.53530111113source
28 July 2025 – 24 Aug 2025Roy Morgan—56.5343091215source
9 Aug 2025 – 16 Aug 2025ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age5937299126source
11 Aug 2025 – 14 Aug 2025NewspollThe Australian56363091213source
18 July 2025 – 30 July 2025Wolf & SmithAustralian Financial Review573630–––source
30 June 2025 – 27 July 2025Roy Morgan—5736.53171213.5source
13 July 2025 – 18 July 2025ResolveSydney Morning Herald/The Age5635298128source
14 July 2025 – 17 July 2025NewspollThe Australian57362981215source
5 July 2025 – 6 July 2025DemosAU—59362691415source
27 June 2025 – 1 July 2025Spectre Strategy—56.535.9317.912.812.3source
19 June 2025 – 30 June 2025RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review55.5373191112source
23 June 2025 – 29 June 2025Roy Morgan—57.536.530.58.51212.5source
2 June 2025 – 22 June 2025Roy Morgan—5837.53161213.5source
5 May 2025 – 1 June 2025Roy Morgan—58.53731611.514.5source