Economy dashboard · Interest rates & credit
As at 13 October 2026 · official data unless labelled
Market-implied chance of a hike at the next RBA meeting
27.9%Steady3 November 2026
What the numbers are telling us
Market-implied chance of a hike at the next RBA meeting was 27.9% at 3 November 2026.
Why it matters
What traders in ASX cash rate futures expect the RBA to do next.
What it should be
There is no official target for this measure, so it is judged against its own long-run average: a higher or lower reading is not in itself better or worse.
Every figure on this page is calculated from the stored official series (ASX, 30-day interbank cash rate futures); the summary is written from the numbers, not edited by hand.